David R. Brillinger
Statistics Department,University of California,Berkeley, CA 94720,
U.S.A
brill@stat.berkeley.edu
This work presents an EDA of the trajectories of deer and elk moving
about in the Starkey Experimental Forest and Range in Eastern Oregon. The
animals' movements may be affected by explanatory variables such as the
locations of fences, of roads, of cover, of water, of forage and other
habitat characteristics. Wildlife biologists are interested in describing
their movements and in particular how their movements relate to such explanatories
as those listed and to the locations of other animals. In the work of this
paper a stochastic differential equation based model is developed in successive
stages. Equations of motion are set down motivated by corresponding equations
of physics. Functional parameters appearing in the equations are estimated
nonparametrically. Residuals are obtained used to look for dependence amongst
the movements of the animals. There are exploratory analyses of various
sorts. Statistical inferences are based on Fourier transforms of the data.
The sections of the talk will begin with quotes from John W. Tukey's writings.
(This work is joint with A. A. Ager, J. G. Kie and H. K. Preisler of the
US Forest Service.)